It’s a return to League action this week for Oldham after their FA Cup exit. Time to focus on the league. Leyton Orient visit for what promises to be a very tight match indeed. There’s a protest planned against the current owner of the club, too. Leyton Orient have experienced their own troubles in recent times, but have recovered, re-entering the Football League this season.

The table below, complete with league position error (Oldham are 20th, Leyton Orient 19th), shows how tight it promises to be. One point separate the sides, and while Orient’s matches have involved more goals in total (13), both have a similar goal difference (-7 and -6). Elo ratings are almost identical, but home advantage kicks in to give Oldham expected goals of 1.39, Orient 1.15.

RED and the bookies agree that there’s a 42% chance of an Oldham win, 31% for Orient.

It’s the first meeting between the sides since 2014, back when both sides were in League One.

A thoroughly unsatisfying 1-1 draw is 12.6% likely.