Since shipping four goals at home to today’s opponents, Salford, on Boxing Day, Oldham have failed to win, picking up just three points in draws. Prior to Boxing Day, they’d won two on the bounce. Salford haven’t really pushed on all that much since Boxing Day either, also only picking up three points. Nonetheless, RED (57%) and the bookies (46%) heavily favour them to win this afternoon. The most likely score is a narrow 1-0 win for Salford (12.8%), the 1-1 draw at just 11.3%. The table below contains some stats relevant to today’s game, comparing the sides. This is the first league meeting of the two sides at Salford.
RED calculates Elo ratings for teams. There’s a bit of an issue in a hierarchical system like football leagues, but the plot below emphasises the different fortunes of the two teams in recent years – Salford have been above Oldham since mid-2017, back when Oldham were still in League One but heading towards relegation.