Tuesday night was important in League One. Rotherham narrowly beat Ipswich at the top, and Wycombe edged Blackpool to keep in contention at the top, joint top despite some hammerings recently by rivals at the top. What does it all mean?
RED has re-run the 1000 simulations to the end of the season in light of Tuesday, and the resulting table is below. In each cell is the probability that that team finishes in that position. It’s ordered left to right by final position likelihood.
So Rotherham (RTU) are favourites, just, with a 26.5% chance of winning the division. Wycombe, despite being level on points with them, are just 7.1% to win the league. Portsmouth, back in seventh but with two games in hand, are second favourites at 24.4% for the title.
At the bottom, Bolton and Southend both have a less than 4% chance of avoiding relegation.