We’ve updated the end-of-season probabilities – though before Norwich beat Leicester, and before Portsmouth dealt with Rochdale. Each table is for a division, and gives the probability each team will…Read More >
Month: February 2020
Lower League Forecasts, February 28-29
Rochdale make the long, long trip down to Portsmouth on a Friday night – whose idea was that?! A few brave souls will no doubt venture down the M6, M40,…Read More >
Premier League, R28 (28 Feb – 1 Mar) — Canaries have 32% chance tonight of (fatally?) wounding the Foxes push for 2nd.
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 28 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Championship, R36 (29 Feb-2 Mar, 2020) — 44% chance that the return to form of Leeds continues with a win at Hull
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 36 of the English Championship, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Champions League Forecasts, Last 16 (b)
Champions League matches continue tonight. Our forecasts (san bookmakers alas), and Jean-Louis Foulleys:
Championship, R35 (25-26 Feb, 2020) — Luton aren’t relegated yet, and they have a 27% chance of beating Brentford on Tuesday evening.
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 35 of the English Championship, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Lower League Forecasts, February 25
Here are our forecasts for the matches in midweek in Leagues One and Two of the Football League:
Premier League, R27 (22-24 Feb) — Econometric Model gives Chelsea 42% chance of beating Spurs
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 27 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Spotlight on… Oldham Athletic at Leyton Orient
17th face 18th in London on Saturday as Oldham travel to Leyton Orient. 9 wins vs 8, 38 points vs 37. Both teams have conceded 52, Orient have scored six…Read More >
Lower Leagues, 22 February 2020
We’ve produced our latest set of lower league forecasts for Leagues One and Two this weekend. Will another nail be hammered into the coffins of Bolton, Southend and Stevenage, or…Read More >