This afternoon sees the second ever visit of Forest Green to Oldham. Last season the match yielded no goals as both teams were seeking to push higher up the table. This season, Forest Green couldn’t be in worse form, and Oldham come into it off the back of a 5-1 humbling at Exeter on Tuesday.

It’s testament to Forest Green’s start that despite picking up one point of the last 18 available, and 14 from the last 51, they’re still nine points and nine positions better off than Oldham.

Oldham have home advantage, and have been in good home form of late, with a 3-0 and 3-1 win in their last two home matches, and have only lost once at home since early October (W4, D3).

A classic 1-1 draw is most likely – 12.4%. Oldham to nick it by a goal (1-0, 2-1, 3-2) is at 23%.

The Elo rating history of the two sides is revealing. Forest Green have been moving up the leagues in recent years, while Oldham stagnated in League One before falling into League Two in 2018. This season had looked good for Forest Green and bad for Oldham at the start, but the Elo rating of the two has merged in recent weeks.