Twelve points clear, it’s fairy obvious PSG will win Ligue 1 this season. We have them at 99.9%, with Marseille having a 1 in a thousand chance of winning. There’s a lively battle for the remaining European places, with realistically only Marseille being guaranteed, at this point, European football in whatever form it happens next season.
There’s a 50% chance Rennes play in the Champions League, a 48% chance Lille do.
At the bottom, Toulouse are 98.5% likely to be relegated.