Some massive games this week in the Premier League.

It’s Manchester v Liverpool X 2.

Manchester City play Liverpool, with a draw as the most likely result predicted by our model (see Score Picks, Most).  We do favour Man City on Expected Goals, as do the bookmakers in terms of outcomes (see Mean Odds).

Everton vs Manchester United we also predict as a draw, though Man Utd are a bit higher on expected goals (1.08 – 1.75, see ‘Expected Goals’).

In London on the other hand we have both Arsenal against Aston Villa and Chelsea v Sheffield United both of which are predicted at 2-0 wins for the home teams (see Outcome Probs).

High flying Leicester and Tottenham are also predicted to get wins, although these are 1-0 wins.

Bookmakers broadly agree with the outcomes of our model this week.