Premier League 19/12/20 – 21/12/20
The Premier League gets Friday night off but there are matches from Saturday through to Monday this weekend.
West Brom v Aston Villa
Big difference here between our model and bookmakers Mean Odds. Bookmakers have Aston Villa strongly favour Aston Villa (48.4% chance to win), whereas we actually have West Brom just ahead at 38.1% to 34.1% for Villa. This will of course be Sam Allardyce’s first match as West Brom manager so plenty of people will looking to see if he can repeat another relegation rescue. We’ve predicted a draw overall as the most likely result.
Elsewhere a number of matches look pretty uneven in terms of odds, Chelsea v West Ham, Palace v Liverpool, Southampton v Man City.
Manchester United v Leeds might be a bit closer than the predicted outcomes are showing (67.9% chance for a Man Utd win) with bookmakers at 56.2%; Tottenham v Leicester also has a 56.9% chance for Tottenham and bookmakers favouring Tottenham at 46.3%.
Everton v Arsenal
Everton v Arsenal should prove to be close though. We’ve predicted a 1-1 draw, favouring Arsenal at 41.2% and Everton at 31.8% to win, bookmakers slightly favour Everton (40.9% to 31.7%).