There are actually only 2 midweek matches for the English Championship tonight as tomorrow’s Brentford v Bristol City game is suspended.
Clear 1-0 wins predicted by our model for both Bournemouth and Luton Town in their home matches against Millwall and QPR.
In fact, both home teams have almost the same likelihood of winning in our model (58%) with the only difference being that bookmakers favour Luton considerably less than we do (see Mean Odds, home).
QPR haven’t won in 5 games so it’s hardly surprising the model predicts them to lose. There is a 14.9% chance of a 1-0 win for Luton.