Championship Scorecasts 16/2/21 -17/2/21

Late posting this tonight for various reasons.

The four matches showing at 1-0 as our most likely result all have the home team showing at over 50% likely to win. There is only one other match where that is the case and that is the Middlesbrough v Huddersfield game where we have Middlesbrough on over 51% to win. There is an 11.5% chance of a 1-1 and 10.7% chance of a 1-0 in our model.

There are only 2 games where we differ from bookmakers odds – the Luton v Cardiff game where we favour Luton by 5% and the Barnsley v Blackburn game tomorrow night where our model heavily favours Barnsley in a likely 1-0 home win.