English Championship


Championship football returns this weekend following the international break.

Even at this early stage some teams are clearly setting the pace.

Recently relegated Fulham and West Brom are both first and second on 13 points each, although with our model both teams are currently predicted to draw this weekend (See table below for most likely outcomes).

English Championship – Expected Goals, Most likely winners, most likely scores (and exact scores odds) and bookmakers, Mean odds:

Both teams are also favoured as winners, if there is one (Fulham 47% and West Brom 51%), bookmakers on the other hand have their mean odds (the average odds across bookmakers) at between 60% (Fulham) and 61% (West Brom) for wins for the top two.

QPR in 3rd on 11 points and Bournemouth in 6th are also unbeaten. For these two, it is also reasonably likely they will also remain unbeaten at the end of the weekend. They are at between 42-44% for each team to win respectively, in our model, with bookmakers giving slightly higher odds for Bournemouth.

At the other end of the table there are three winless teams, Blackpool, Sheffield United and Nottingham Forest.

Forest are bottom with just one point.

Sheffield United really should be doing better as a recently relegated team but they also have the lowest amount of goals in the league, scoring just one. Amusingly, Sheffield United are one of two teams our model picks to win and bookmakers pretty much agree with this. We have Sheffield United at 55% to win with bookmakers just under 3% higher, so it looks pretty good for them at home to Preston.