Based on 1,000 simulations of the University of Reading’s Scorecasting Model to the end of the season, the below table shows the % chance of each English Football League Championship team…Read More >
EFL Championship
Spotlight on…. Derby County: Rams loss in midweek drops chances of making the playoffs to 3%. Hope is snuffed out.
Derby host Huddersfield tomorrow. The table below provides various statistics about the match up, as well as the outputs of the Scorecasting Model. Based on 1000 simulations of the Model…Read More >
Championship, R33 (14-15 Feb, 2020) — Model has Hull as 44% favourites tonight agaisnt Swansea, who are at 30% chance of the win
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 33 of the English Championship, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Spotlight on…. Derby County: Rams now have 10% chance of making the Playoffs, thanks to Wayne’s World coming to the East Midlands
Derby travel to Bristol City tomorrow night. The table below provides various statistics about the match up, as well as the outputs of the Scorecasting Model. Inspired by Wayne, Derby’s…Read More >
Championship, R32 (11-12 Feb, 2020) — Leeds significant underdogs at Brentford
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 32 of the English Championship, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Championship, R31 (7-9 Feb, 2020) — Bristol City have 50% chance of beating Birmingham tonight
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 31 of the English Championship, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Championship, R30 (31 Jan – 1 Feb, 2020) — Derby v Stoke: Model favours the Rams (47% chance of win). Bookies favour Potters (36% chacne of win)
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 30 of the English Championship, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
League One, End of Season Probabilities
RED has produced end-of-season probabilities for League One, taking into account Bolton’s 12 point deduction. It leaves them with a mere 4% chance of avoiding relegation, which is almost exactly…Read More >
English Championship Final Table Simulations (updated 26/1/2020)
Based on 1,000 simulations of the University of Reading’s Scorecasting Model to the end of the season, the below table shows the % chance of each English Football League Championship team…Read More >
Championship, R29 continued (28 Jan, 2020) — Reading have 46% chance of beating Bristol
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for some the remaining games from Rounds 29 of the English Championship, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast…Read More >