We plan to issue regular end-of-season forecasts this season. Not least, because that’s what all fans are ultimately bothered about – what each match means for their chances of going…Read More >
Category: End of season
End-of-season forecasts, Premier League
We posted our pre-season forecasts here, and the stand out pick was Everton for relegation. Models are only a function of the data going into them, and for our slimmed…Read More >
End-of-season forecasts, Championship, September 24
Being Reading-based economists, we’re delighted to see that Reading have made a strong start to the season – two wins out of two, highly unexpected too. Well, the Barnsley win…Read More >
Season Forecasts – Championship
The season is almost upon us. The weird one where there won’t be any fans – at least for a few months. What’s going to happen? We’ve crunched the numbers…Read More >
Champions League 2019-2020 season conclusion
This evening, the Champions League returns after its Covid-19 enforced suspension. Nothing is normal, of course. Not least the look of our forecasts: KDR, ICL, TFI an LIN are all…Read More >
How will Eredivisie end?
The final in our current series of looks at how European football seasons will end (England, Italy, Spain, Germany and France) is the Dutch top league, the Eredivisie. As things…Read More >
How will Ligue 1 end?
We’ve looked at English leagues, at Serie A, La Liga, and the Bundesliga. Now we look at how France’s top division might have finished, had it been played out from the point the suspension…Read More >
How will the Bundesliga end?
We’ve looked at English leagues, at Serie A, and La Liga, now we move to the Bundesliga in Germany. Football has stopped everywhere (apart from Belarus). Will it restart? How?…Read More >
How will La Liga end?
We’ve extended our end-of-season projections, which we did for English leagues before the COVID19 shutdown of sport, to Italy yesterday. This matters since it appears that increasingly, UEFA and leagues…Read More >
End-of-season update, February 27
We’ve updated the end-of-season probabilities – though before Norwich beat Leicester, and before Portsmouth dealt with Rochdale. Each table is for a division, and gives the probability each team will…Read More >