The last few matches of 2019 are taking place today, tomorrow and Monday. We posted some half-way evaluation of RED’s Champions League forecasts against Jean-Louis Foulleys the other day, and promised…Read More >
Category: Evaluation
Mid-term evaluation – Champions League – must do better!
It’s about the halfway stage of the season, so we’re going to spend a little bit of time evaluating how good our forecasts are over the next few days. We’re…Read More >
Championship – Final League Table Forecast Evaluation
As the dust settles on the English Football League season, as some teams celebrate and others lick their (financial) wounds, RED looks back to last August, when it made a…Read More >
Man vs Machine – End of Season Premier League Results – Man can still hold head up high
In April, RED, our “super-computer” took on the BBC’s Mark Lawrenson (aka Lawro) in a football scoreline forecasting showdown. Like Deep Blue vs Kasparov in 1996, RED vs Lawro in…Read More >
Evaluation – March Update – "The Model vs Lawro vs Merse" – Model holds on to narrow Lead
The Model is holding on to a slim lead over Lawro an Merson, but the “experts” are closing in. Can the computer hang on to the end of the season?…Read More >
Half-term Reports
We can always consult the league tables to find out where teams are – but are they where we expected them to be? It’s hard to avoid the idea that…Read More >
Evaluation – Quick Update – "The Model vs Lawro vs Merse" – Model takes the Lead
The featured image (and below) plots the cumulative forecasting performance of “The Model vs Lawro vs Merse” since round 10 in the Premier League, and as of the midweek fixtures…Read More >
Evaluation – A Quick Update – "The Model vs Lawro vs Merson"
The featured image plots the cumulative forecasting performance of “The Model vs Lawro vs Merson”, according to the BBC Sport scoring metric (40 points for a perfect scoreline forecast, 10…Read More >
The Model is beating the experts
After 40 Premier League matches, the Model is beating the experts. By experts we mean former professional footballers Mark Lawrenson (aka “Lawro”) and Paul Merson (aka “Merse”), who make well-publicised…Read More >
So close, but yet so far
With fifteen minutes of play left in most matches on Tuesday, our scoreline predictions were spot on in seven matches, and just one goal in a number of other matches…Read More >