The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 35 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number…Read More >
Premier League
Premier League, R34 (7-9 July) — Arsenal 47% chance of defeating the Foxes — has home advantage returned?
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 34 of the Premier League, adjusted for the fact these matches are taking place behind closed doors, along with forecast probabilities…Read More >
Premier League, R33 (4-6 July) — Man U have 72% chance of toppling Cherries
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 33 of the Premier League, adjusted for the fact these matches are taking place behind closed doors, along with forecast probabilities…Read More >
Premier League, R32-Part 1 (27-29 Jun) — Wolves to take advantage of playing in an empty stadium, with 48% chance of win at Villa Park
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 32 of the Premier League, adjusted for the fact these matches are taking place behind closed doors, along with forecast probabilities…Read More >
Premier League, R31 (23-25 Jun) — Leicester 53% chance of win against Brighton tonight
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 31 of the Premier League, adjusted for the fact these matches are taking place behind closed doors, along with forecast probabilities…Read More >
Premier League, R30 (19-22 Jun) — Spurs only have a 25% chance of beating Manchester Utd tonight.
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 30 of the Premier League, adjusted for the fact these matches are taking place behind closed doors, along with forecast probabilities estimated…Read More >
Premier League, R28 (17 June) — Forecasts adjusted for behind closed doors football.
The Premier League returns tonight behind closed doors, in empty stadiums. This experiment begins with Aston Villa at home to Sheffield Utd. We have adjusted our forecasts to account for…Read More >
Premier League, R29 (7-9 Mar) — Model gives Liverpool 79% chance of getting back to winning ways against Bournemouth
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 29 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Premier League, R28 (28 Feb – 1 Mar) — Canaries have 32% chance tonight of (fatally?) wounding the Foxes push for 2nd.
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 28 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Premier League, R27 (22-24 Feb) — Econometric Model gives Chelsea 42% chance of beating Spurs
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 27 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >