Premier League action returns tonight with the chance for Aston Villa to temporarily go top of the league if can avoid defeat against Leeds. We think a Villa win is…Read More >
Premier League
End-of-season forecasts, Premier League
We posted our pre-season forecasts here, and the stand out pick was Everton for relegation. Models are only a function of the data going into them, and for our slimmed…Read More >
Week 2, Premier League
This week sees the Manchester teams return to Premiership action, as well as Burnley and Aston Villa. Of the two, United look more likely to win at home to Palace…Read More >
Premier League Forecasts, Opening Weekend, September 12-14
The Premier League kicks off this afternoon – what’s going to happen? Neither Manchester club plays; will Liverpool go three points ahead of their two rivals? There’s a 67% chance…Read More >
Premier League, R37 (21-22 July) — Villa need a win against Arsenal, but only have a 27% chance
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for some of Round 37 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast…Read More >
Premier League, R37 (18-22 July) — Norwich looking for some consolation today? A puncher’s chance (26%)
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 37 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number…Read More >
Premier League, R36 (14-17 July) — Chelsea given 73% chance of taking advantage of relegated Canaries
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 36 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number…Read More >
Premier League, R35 (11-13 July) — Watford on the brink: only 30% chance of 3 points at home to Newcastle
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 35 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number…Read More >
Premier League, R34 (7-9 July) — Arsenal 47% chance of defeating the Foxes — has home advantage returned?
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 34 of the Premier League, adjusted for the fact these matches are taking place behind closed doors, along with forecast probabilities…Read More >
Premier League, R33 (4-6 July) — Man U have 72% chance of toppling Cherries
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 33 of the Premier League, adjusted for the fact these matches are taking place behind closed doors, along with forecast probabilities…Read More >