The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 26 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Premier League
Premier League, R26 (part 1) (8-9 Feb) — Model gives West Ham 12% chance at City, compared with 4% by the bookies
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 26 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Premier League, R25 (1-2 Feb): Model gives Leicester 47% chance of win against Chelsea. Man City have 47% chance of 3 points away at Spurs.
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 25 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
English Premier League Final Table Simulations, Winter Transfer Deadline Day Update 2019/20
The University of Reading’s Scorecasting Model has crunched the numbers to look at how this season’s Premier League is most likely to end. Based on 1000 simulations of the Model…Read More >
English Premier League Final Table Simulations, January 2019/20
The University of Reading’s Scorecasting Model has crunched the numbers to look at how this season’s Premier League is most likely to end. Based on 1000 simulations of the Model…Read More >
Premier League, R24 (21-23 Jan): Rashford-less Utd have 55% chance of a win against Burnley, according to Scorecasting Model.
Manchester Utd are apparently in trouble, and face a tough end to the season without their star man Rashford. Tomorrow night Utd face Burnley at Old Trafford. The Model gives…Read More >
Premier League, R23 (18-19 Jan): Scorecasting Model makes Watford favourites against Spurs in the early kick-off
Spurs have been patchy since ‘the special one’ took charge, and the rest of their season is unlikely to be helped by a long-term injury to their premium goalscorer. This…Read More >
Premier League, R22 (10-12 Jan): Model gives Villa 19% chance of win over City, despite injury crisis
The transfer window is open but has so far been quiet. One side in dire need of reinforcements are Aston Villa. This weekend they face a tough visit by Man…Read More >
Premier League, R21 (1-2 Jan): Arsenal v Man U (Mid-table clash…), forecast 1-1 (12%).
Arsenal are thoroughly mid-table at best this season, and Man Utd may be playing well, but they will be fortunate to finish in their current position of 5th, given that…Read More >
Premier League, R20 (28-29 Dec): Liverpool have 64% chance of beating Wolves
Halfway through the season and the chasers have already conceded defeat in the title contest. After dismantling Leicester on Boxing Day, Liverpool have surely won the Premier League already. Can…Read More >