International fixtures forecast performance, 18/19

As the simplest metric of forecast performance, the table below gives the number of correct scorelines and results according to the model’s most likely scoreline predictions through the 2018/19 season.
“Lawro” points follow the scoring system from BBC’s Mark Lawrenson weekly predictions: 40 points for a correct scoreline; 10 points for just a correct result.

Scorelines Results “Lawro” pts
Total 21/155 86/155 820
2: 9-17 Sep 8/81 43/81 670
1: 5-12 Sep 13/74 43/74 820
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