Author Archives: danaallen

What Does A Probability Of Rainfall Mean?

By: Tom Frame Here is a question that you may think has a simple answer – but surveys have often indicated people misinterpret it. So why is this question difficult to answer? This blog entry is about why the probability … Continue reading

Posted in Climate, Rainfall, Statistics, Weather | Leave a comment

Practical Problems when Simulating the Earth

By: David Case In principle, to simulate the earth should be a doddle. We know that it’s made of such things as molecules, crystals and atoms, and the forces between these derive from charged particles, and these do little more … Continue reading

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How Can We Improve the Health Sector’s Climate Resilience?

By: Katty Huang and Andrew Charlton-Perez The Problem Weather and climate can have great impacts on human health. One aspect of this is in relation to temperature exposure. In the UK, around 9% of deaths are associated with too warm … Continue reading

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How can we contribute to extreme event attribution in the Arctic?

By: Daniela Flocco News of broken temperature records, droughts and extreme climate events are nowadays constantly present in newspapers and on social media. The study of the connection between extreme and global climate changes has become subject of an area … Continue reading

Posted in Climate change, Climate modelling, Cryosphere | Leave a comment

Towards a marginal Arctic sea ice cover

By: Danny Feltham As the winter night descends on the polar oceans, the surface mixed layer cools and begins to freeze, forming a floating layer of sea ice. Sea ice is a complex and dynamic component of the climate system; … Continue reading

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Covid-19: Using tools from geophysics to assess, monitor and predict a pandemic

By: Alison Fowler, Alberto Carrassi, Javier Amezcua The emergence of a new coronavirus disease, known as Covid-19, that could be transmitted between people was identified in China in December 2019. By 3rd March 2020 it had spread to every continent … Continue reading

Posted in Climate, data assimilation, Numerical modelling | Leave a comment

Finding the skill of forecasts of extreme precipitation in Southeast Asia

By: Samantha Ferrett Forecasting weather in Southeast Asia Southeast (SE) Asia is prone to high‐impact weather and is often subject to flooding and landslides as a result of heavy rainfall. Just last month Indonesia was hit by heavy rainfall that … Continue reading

Posted in Numerical modelling, Rainfall, Weather forecasting | Leave a comment

Sunshine, cracks, fly-tipping, aphids: Phew, what a May!

By: Roger Brugge Those spending more time in their gardens and in local parks and woods in and around Reading due to the current lockdown situation will have noticed how the ground surface had been resembling the look and feel … Continue reading

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Predicting the impacts of tropical cyclones – when should we trust the forecasts, and when should we not?

By: Rebecca Emerton Between September 2018 and May 2019, a record-breaking 15 tropical storms moved through the southern Indian Ocean. This marked the first season where two intense tropical cyclones, Idai and Kenneth*, made landfall in Mozambique, causing devastating flooding … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Tropical cyclones, Weather forecasting | Leave a comment

Sea Surface Temperature Climate Data Record

By: Owen Embury Oceans cover over 70% of the Earth’s surface and knowing its temperature is crucial for understanding both weather and climate. Historically, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) have been measured in situ – from ships and automated buoys – … Continue reading

Posted in Climate, Oceans, Remote sensing | Leave a comment