Author Archives: danaallen

Rainfall decline over Eastern Africa linked to shorter wet seasons

By: Caroline Wainwright 2019 was a year of extremes for East Africa. The long rains (March-May) started late and low rainfall during the season exacerbated the drought conditions following the dry short rains (October-December) in 2018. Conversely, the short rains … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Climate, Climate change, Rainfall | Leave a comment

From Indonesia to the British Isles: using El Niño and weather patterns in the tropics to help predict North Atlantic and European weather

By: Robert Lee The winter weather in the UK and Europe can be split into different patterns based on the large-scale flow in the atmosphere. A commonly used method is to use a type of machine learning algorithm – a … Continue reading

Posted in Climate, ENSO, Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), Predictability, subseasonal forecasting | Leave a comment

Desert Dust in the Atmosphere: Giant Particles, Giant Consequences?

By: Claire Ryder As I write, storm Gloria decays over the Mediterranean Sea, while large amounts of desert dust whipped up by strong winds over the Sahara desert have been whirled in to action by Gloria and remain in the … Continue reading

Posted in Aerosols, Climate, Climate modelling | Leave a comment

How can we provide accurate and useful weather forecasts to Tropical African countries?

By: Carlo Cafaro  Probabilistic weather forecasts contain useful information that could save lives by issuing early and accurate warnings. This is especially true in Africa, where the livelihoods of people rely significantly on agricultural activities. These, in turn, depend on … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Climate, Convection, Weather forecasting | Leave a comment

A Tipsy Earth?

By: Jonah Bloch-Johnson Hi. I’m Jonah, a scientist here at the UoR, and I study whether global warming will be more like drinking water, soda, or beer. What do I mean by that? Let me explain. Both thirst and the Earth’s … Continue reading

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How to analyse your forecast diary properly

By: Jochen Broecker As you are reading a science blog, I am sure you are interested in science, and either as a parent or during your childhood you will have seen these books aimed at children interested in the natural … Continue reading

Posted in Predictability, Statistics, Uncategorized, Weather forecasting | Leave a comment

Our changing energy system: what happens at times of high demand?

 By: Hannah Bloomfield It is getting near to Christmas, which means the decorations are coming out, the nights are drawing in, and even Scrooge has conceded that it’s probably time to put the heating on. In winter the UK has … Continue reading

Posted in Climate, Energy meteorology, Wind | Leave a comment

Climate change increases the “perfect storm” coastal flood potential

By Emanuele Bevacqua Some of the European low-lying coastal areas and river estuaries may see a future increase in flooding caused not only by sea-level rise but also by more frequent concurrent storm surge and heavy precipitation, we show in … Continue reading

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The giant space plasma waves that can destroy our satellites

By: Sarah Bentley Everyday life is becoming more and more dependent on satellite services. From critical communications to forecasting and GPS, we would feel the impact of these lost services quickly. The location and accurate time provided by GPS is … Continue reading

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The latest on aerosol radiative forcing

By: Nicolas Bellouin Aerosols are tiny liquid or solid particles suspended in the Earth’s atmosphere. Some aerosols form naturally, like the sea spray emitted by breaking waves, the mineral dust that form sandstorms, or smoke from wildfires. But human activities, … Continue reading

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