Category Archives: Atmospheric circulation

Outlook For The Upcoming UK Winter

By: Christopher O’Reilly In this post I discuss the outlook for the 2022/23 winter from a UK perspective: what do the forecasts predict and what physical drivers might influence the upcoming winter?  An important winter  The price of utilities has … Continue reading

Posted in Atmospheric circulation, Climate, Climate modelling, ENSO, North Atlantic, Oceans, Seasonal forecasting, Stratosphere, Teleconnections | Leave a comment

How would climate-change science look if it was structured “as if people mattered”?

By Ted Shepherd The scientific understanding of climate change is represented by the Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), most recently its Sixth Assessment Report. IPCC Working Groups II and III deal respectively with adaptation and … Continue reading

Posted in Atmospheric circulation, Climate, Climate change, Data processing, IPCC | Tagged | Leave a comment

Antarctic Sea Ice: The Global Climate Driver Of The South

By: Holly Ayres In the Northern Hemisphere, our closest region of sea ice (not to be confused with land ice) is the Arctic, a vast region of frozen ocean at the North Pole. Antarctica, a huge mountainous land mass at … Continue reading

Posted in Antarctic, Arctic, Atmospheric circulation, Climate, Climate change, Climate modelling, Cryosphere, Oceans, Polar | Leave a comment

Forecast West Africa by Dr. Bunny Rabbit

By: Paul-Arthur Monerie References: *“Forecast” stands here for the projection of changes in precipitation at the end of the 21st century (a 40-year period average, between 2060 and 2099) relative to the end of the 20th century (1960-1999), in summer (JAS) and for … Continue reading

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TerraMaris: Plans, Progress And Setbacks Of Atmospheric Research In Indonesia

By: Emma Howard  To some of us weather enthusiasts, there’s nothing more exciting than a good tropical thunderstorm. For the best storms, you need a good source of humid air from a warm ocean and a hot land surface. If … Continue reading

Posted in Atmospheric circulation, Climate, Convection, Thunder Storms, Tropical convection | Tagged | Leave a comment

Seasonal Forecasting and the 2018 European Heatwave

By Len Shaffrey The summer of 2018 has been one of the warmest on record in the UK and Europe. Warm temperatures over the summer led to impacts on agriculture, water resources and human health. One interesting question is how predictable … Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic, Atmospheric circulation, Climate, Climate change, Climate modelling, Environmental hazards, Historical climatology, Hydrology, Numerical modelling, Seasonal forecasting, Waves | Leave a comment

Is it a normal season this year for tropical cyclones in the Western North Pacific?

By Xiangbo Feng  The Western North Pacific (WNP) is the most active area for tropical cyclones (TCs).  The number of TCs occurred in the WNP so far (end of October) this year is 26 – just the average number of … Continue reading

Posted in Atmospheric circulation, Climate, Climate modelling, earth observation, ENSO, Equatorial waves, Historical climatology, Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), Numerical modelling, Seasonal forecasting, Tropical cyclones, Waves, Weather forecasting, Western North Pacific, Wind | Leave a comment

Smoke, science, and sharks

By Ross Herbert In the August of 2017 the Cloud-Aerosol-Radiation Interactions and Forcing – Year 2017 (CLARIFY) measurement campaign took place on a tiny island in the middle of the southeast Atlantic Ocean where we were surrounded by whales, sharks, … Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic, Atmospheric chemistry, Atmospheric circulation, Atmospheric optics, Climate, Climate change, Climate modelling, Clouds, Data collection, earth observation, Energy budget, Environmental hazards, Greenhouse gases, Measurements and instrumentation, Microphysics, Numerical modelling, Solar radiation, Weather forecasting, Wind | Tagged | Leave a comment

Storylines of regional climate change

By Giuseppe Zappa  An outstanding question for climate science is quantifying how global warming will regionally affect the aspects of climate that are most directly relevant to society, such as precipitation, windiness and extremes. But achieving this task is proving … Continue reading

Posted in Atmospheric circulation, Climate, Climate change, Climate modelling, Greenhouse gases, Numerical modelling, Stratosphere | Tagged | Leave a comment