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Category Archives: Numerical modelling
Modelling Convection In The Maritime Continent
By: Steve Woolnough The Maritime Continent, the archipelago, including Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philippines and Papua New Guinea is made up of hundreds of islands of varying shapes and sizes. It lies in some of the warmest waters on Earth and … Continue reading
Where Do All My Balloons Go?
By: Andrew K. Mirza Turbulence! If you have ever travelled by aeroplane, then you may have experienced atmospheric turbulence during the flight: It is when the captain switches on the seat-belt sign; requests all passengers return to their seats and … Continue reading
Why should we care about sea ice floes?
By: Adam Bateson One of the most frequently used visual devices to illustrate climate change is that of a polar bear on sea ice surrounded by open ocean (Fig. 1). Polar bears are today identified as a vulnerable species, with sea ice decline the … Continue reading
Posted in Arctic, Climate, Climate modelling, Cryosphere, Numerical modelling, Polar
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Advance Of The Indian Monsoon Onset
By: Arathy Menon The Indian monsoon provides water for agriculture, industry and the basic water needs of more than a billion people. The monsoon onset usually takes place in south India during the beginning of June and the monsoon rains then … Continue reading
Posted in Climate, Monsoons, Numerical modelling, Rainfall, Tropical convection
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The Core-cloak Convection Model
By: Jian-Feng Gu Moist convection plays a fundamental role in large-scale circulations and climate, ranging from cumulus clouds smaller than 100m to organized weather systems of several thousands of kilometers. Limited by their grid spacing, numerical models are not able … Continue reading
Posted in Climate, Clouds, Convection, Numerical modelling
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Practical Problems when Simulating the Earth
By: David Case In principle, to simulate the earth should be a doddle. We know that it’s made of such things as molecules, crystals and atoms, and the forces between these derive from charged particles, and these do little more … Continue reading
Posted in Climate, Numerical modelling
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Covid-19: Using tools from geophysics to assess, monitor and predict a pandemic
By: Alison Fowler, Alberto Carrassi, Javier Amezcua The emergence of a new coronavirus disease, known as Covid-19, that could be transmitted between people was identified in China in December 2019. By 3rd March 2020 it had spread to every continent … Continue reading
Posted in Climate, data assimilation, Numerical modelling
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Finding the skill of forecasts of extreme precipitation in Southeast Asia
By: Samantha Ferrett Forecasting weather in Southeast Asia Southeast (SE) Asia is prone to high‐impact weather and is often subject to flooding and landslides as a result of heavy rainfall. Just last month Indonesia was hit by heavy rainfall that … Continue reading
Don’t (always) blame the weather forecaster
By: Ross Bannister There are (I am sure) numerous metaphors that suggest that a small, almost immeasurable event, can have a catastrophic outcome – that adding the proverbial straw to the load of the camel will break its back. In 1972, … Continue reading
High-resolution insights into future European winters
By: Alexander Baker Figure 1: Observed UK rainfall anomaly as a percentage of 1981-2010 monthly average for (a) December 2013, (b) January 2014, and (c) February 2014. Figure from Huntingford et al. (2014). Most – roughly 70% – of Europe’s winter … Continue reading