Category Archives: Statistics

What Does A Probability Of Rainfall Mean?

By: Tom Frame Here is a question that you may think has a simple answer – but surveys have often indicated people misinterpret it. So why is this question difficult to answer? This blog entry is about why the probability … Continue reading

Posted in Climate, Statistics, Weather | Leave a comment

How to analyse your forecast diary properly

By: Jochen Broecker As you are reading a science blog, I am sure you are interested in science, and either as a parent or during your childhood you will have seen these books aimed at children interested in the natural … Continue reading

Posted in Predictability, Statistics, Uncategorized, Weather forecasting | Leave a comment