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Category Archives: Weather forecasting
Data Assimilation Improves Space Weather Forecasting Skill
By: Matthew Lang Over the past few years, I have been working on using data assimilation methodologies that are prevalent in meteorology to improve forecasts of space weather events (Lang et al. 2017; Lang and Owens 2019). Data assimilation does … Continue reading
Tropical rainfall and sea surface temperature link could improve forecasts
By: Chris Holloway and the University of Reading Press Office. Tropical rainfall, averaged on seasonal time scales, is influenced far more strongly by nearby sea temperatures in the real world than in almost all climate simulations, scientists have found, paving … Continue reading
Posted in Climate, Oceans, Rainfall, Weather forecasting
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People are in the cities – how could we provide the weather climate information they need?
By: Sue Grimmond Climate services provide climate information to help individuals and organizations make climate smart decisions. Climate services work by integrating high quality meteorological data (temperature, rainfall, wind, soil moisture and ocean conditions); as well as maps, risk and vulnerability … Continue reading
Posted in Climate, Urban meteorology, Weather forecasting
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Finding the skill of forecasts of extreme precipitation in Southeast Asia
By: Samantha Ferrett Forecasting weather in Southeast Asia Southeast (SE) Asia is prone to high‐impact weather and is often subject to flooding and landslides as a result of heavy rainfall. Just last month Indonesia was hit by heavy rainfall that … Continue reading
Predicting the impacts of tropical cyclones – when should we trust the forecasts, and when should we not?
By: Rebecca Emerton Between September 2018 and May 2019, a record-breaking 15 tropical storms moved through the southern Indian Ocean. This marked the first season where two intense tropical cyclones, Idai and Kenneth*, made landfall in Mozambique, causing devastating flooding … Continue reading
Posted in Africa, Tropical cyclones, Weather forecasting
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How can we provide accurate and useful weather forecasts to Tropical African countries?
By: Carlo Cafaro Probabilistic weather forecasts contain useful information that could save lives by issuing early and accurate warnings. This is especially true in Africa, where the livelihoods of people rely significantly on agricultural activities. These, in turn, depend on … Continue reading
Posted in Africa, Climate, Convection, Weather forecasting
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How to analyse your forecast diary properly
By: Jochen Broecker As you are reading a science blog, I am sure you are interested in science, and either as a parent or during your childhood you will have seen these books aimed at children interested in the natural … Continue reading
What do we do with weather forecasts?
By: Peter Clark As I sat in the Kia Oval in Kennington having taken a day off to watch the first One Day International between England and Pakistan, I had plenty of time to appreciate the accuracy and utility of … Continue reading
Posted in Climate, Predictability, Weather, Weather forecasting
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Is it a normal season this year for tropical cyclones in the Western North Pacific?
By Xiangbo Feng The Western North Pacific (WNP) is the most active area for tropical cyclones (TCs). The number of TCs occurred in the WNP so far (end of October) this year is 26 – just the average number of … Continue reading
Smoke, science, and sharks
By Ross Herbert In the August of 2017 the Cloud-Aerosol-Radiation Interactions and Forcing – Year 2017 (CLARIFY) measurement campaign took place on a tiny island in the middle of the southeast Atlantic Ocean where we were surrounded by whales, sharks, … Continue reading
Posted in Africa, Atlantic, Atmospheric chemistry, Atmospheric circulation, Atmospheric optics, Climate, Climate change, Climate modelling, Clouds, Data collection, earth observation, Energy budget, Environmental hazards, Greenhouse gases, Measurements and instrumentation, Microphysics, Numerical modelling, Solar radiation, Weather forecasting, Wind
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