Everyone’s second favourite football team, Accrington Stanley (“who are they?”), have adapted impressively to life back in English Football’s third tier, their first season at this level since 1959. Sitting in sixth place, a win at second placed Peterborough could push them into third place, which would be their highest position ever. However, a Peterborough win is more likely (47% to 26%, not that that’s stopped Stanley this season). A 1-0 Peterborough win is most likely (12%).
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| League One | Score | PR(%) | P(H) | P(A) | |
| Blackpool | AFC W’don | 1-0 | 14% | 56% | 19% |
| Bradford | Rochdale | 0-1 | 11% | 31% | 40% |
| Bristol R | Oxford | 1-0 | 20% | 41% | 30% |
| Charlton | Barnsley | 0-0 | 21% | 34% | 37% |
| Doncaster | Gillingham | 1-0 | 4% | 54% | 20% |
| Luton | Walsall | 1-0 | 16% | 40% | 32% |
| Peterboro | Accrington | 1-0 | 12% | 47% | 26% |
| Plymouth | Burton | 0-0 | 17% | 33% | 38% |
| P’mouth | Fleetwood | 1-0 | 12% | 47% | 25% |
| S’bury | Sunderland | 0-0 | 51% | 33% | 38% |
| Southend | Coventry | 1-0 | 17% | 47% | 26% |
| Wycombe | Scunthorpe | 2-1 | 6% | 40% | 31% |
We’ve updated our end-of-season forecasts, Perhaps surprising is how highly Yeovil (15th), Carlisle (11th) and Tranmere (5th) are expected to finish: second place. Yeovil meet Tranmere and look set to make up ground in the ever-so-tight League Two (1-0, 10%).
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| League Two | Score | PR(%) | P(H) | P(A) | |
| Bury | Notts Co | 1-0 | 9% | 48% | 25% |
| Crawley | Newport | 1-1 | 10% | 35% | 36% |
| Forest Gr | Cheltenhm | 1-0 | 14% | 51% | 23% |
| Grimsby | Exeter | 1-2 | 6% | 29% | 42% |
| Lincoln | Cambridge | 1-0 | 18% | 61% | 16% |
| Macc | Carlisle | 0-0 | 43% | 37% | 35% |
| MK Dons | N’hampton | 1-0 | 16% | 47% | 26% |
| Morcambe | Colchester | 1-2 | 10% | 26% | 46% |
| Oldham | Port Vale | 1-0 | 15% | 48% | 24% |
| Stevenage | Crewe | 1-0 | 5% | 42% | 29% |
| Swindon | Mansfield | 0-0 | 35% | 35% | 36% |
| Yeovil | Tranmere | 1-0 | 10% | 41% | 30% |