We creep into 2019. What will it bring? Can Sunderland and Portsmouth return to the Championship? Will Luton upset those big boys? Can Lincoln and MK Dons get promotion? Will…Read More >
Month: December 2018
Championship, R26 (1 Jan, 2019)
The football is coming too “thick and fast”, even for us…. Our Championship forecasts are in the table below: The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening The…Read More >
Premier League, R21 (1-3 Jan)
Manchester Utd are back in the goals. Apparently the tactical tweak by Solskjaer has been simply to encourage width. The Scorecasting Model is fundamentally about goals rather than results, and so…Read More >
The End of Season Title Reckoning: Updated Probabilities
Only ten days ago, Manchester City had according to our Model an 84% chance of retaining their title, making them heavy favourites, though down from the 92% chance the Model…Read More >
Lower Leagues, R25 (Dec 29)
The festive fixture schedule continues tomorrow with another full programme in the lower leagues. Luton’s barnstorming run (10 wins from 11) means they have been one of the biggest movers…Read More >
Championship, R25 (29 Dec, 2018)
The Championship promotion picture is beginning to look more settled. Leeds and Norwich are respectively 14 and 11 points clear of 7th placed Birmingham. However, arguable teams as far down…Read More >
Premier League, R20 (29-30 Dec)
Nine days ago we published our end of season league table forecasts. At that time, the Model was forecasting Man City to have an 84% chance of lifting the Premier…Read More >
Lower Leagues, R24 (Boxing Day)
It’s that time of the year, one of the dates you always look to when they release the fixtures in the middle of June or July – who are we…Read More >
Half-term Reports
We can always consult the league tables to find out where teams are – but are they where we expected them to be? It’s hard to avoid the idea that…Read More >
Championship, R24 (26 Dec, 2018)
Millwall haven’t won in 9, and they have only picked up 4 points in that time. No surprise then that they spend Christmas in the Championship drop zone. On Boxing…Read More >