It’s FA Cup weekend, but one lower league match takes place – between crisis club Macclesfield Town and Bradford City, in League Two. As so often happens, RED and the…Read More >
Month: November 2019
Premier League, R14 (30 Nov -1 Dec) — Are bookmakers biased forecasters? Model gives Newcastle 20% chance of win, but bookmakers say just 6%
As always, the Scorecasting Model provides some notable differences in forecasts when compared against those suggested by bookmaker odds. In some cases, the win %s almost match perfectly, such as…Read More >
Championship, R19 (29 Nov-2 Dec, 2019) — Reading University Model says Swansea are favourites tonight against Fulham
There is a top of the table clash tonight between Swansea and Fulham. The Model suggests it will be tight, with the home side, Swansea, given a 41% chance of…Read More >
Lower Leagues, midweek catch-up, November 26
Some blockbuster clashes in the lower leagues this evening. In League One the top two play at Portman Road, where Ipswich (2nd) host Wycombe (1st). In League Two, second (Forest…Read More >
Champions League, game week 5, November 26-27
Tonight and tomorrow night, the penultimate round of the Champions League Group Stages takes place. Who will secure their progression to the knock-out stages? We present our forecasts below, using…Read More >
Championship, R18 (26-27 Nov, 2019) — Derby County and Reading FC underestimated by the bookies, says Reading University Scorecasting Model
Derby County travel to Craven Cottage this evening, having picked up a vital win at the weekend over Preston. Fulham are just 5 points ahead of the Rams in the…Read More >
Spolight on… Oldham Athletic
Without a game in what feels like ages (ok, there was some match in the EFL Trophy, but the less said, the better about that), Oldham travel to South Wales…Read More >
League Two Forecasts, Game week 19, November 23
In League Two, Swindon head the way with a mighty 34 points from 18 games. But with ten wins, that’s one fewer than Liverpool have managed in 12 games. Is…Read More >
League One Forecasts, Gameweek 19, November 23
We’re disturbingly close to halfway through the season. League One looks really quite confusing with it seems almost every different team having played a different number of games. Then Bolton…Read More >
Championship, R17 (22-24 Nov, 2019) — Model says: Leeds 43% chance of a win. Bookmakers say: Leeds 63% chance of a win. Who do you believe?
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 17 of the English Championship, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the…Read More >