More action in the lower leagues this weekend. How will it affect the end of season probabilities for Leagues One and Two? The Buckinghamshire Derby takes place at in Milton…Read More >
Month: January 2020
Updated League Two End-of-Season Predictions
Tuesday was important in League Two, also. It put paid to Scunthorpe’s manager Paul Hurst, for starters. What actually changed though, in terms of what matters – the end of…Read More >
Updated League One End-of-season Predictions
Tuesday night was important in League One. Rotherham narrowly beat Ipswich at the top, and Wycombe edged Blackpool to keep in contention at the top, joint top despite some hammerings…Read More >
Premier League, R25 (1-2 Feb): Model gives Leicester 47% chance of win against Chelsea. Man City have 47% chance of 3 points away at Spurs.
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 25 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Championship, R30 (31 Jan – 1 Feb, 2020) — Derby v Stoke: Model favours the Rams (47% chance of win). Bookies favour Potters (36% chacne of win)
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 30 of the English Championship, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
English Premier League Final Table Simulations, Winter Transfer Deadline Day Update 2019/20
The University of Reading’s Scorecasting Model has crunched the numbers to look at how this season’s Premier League is most likely to end. Based on 1000 simulations of the Model…Read More >
League One, End of Season Probabilities
RED has produced end-of-season probabilities for League One, taking into account Bolton’s 12 point deduction. It leaves them with a mere 4% chance of avoiding relegation, which is almost exactly…Read More >
Lower League Forecasts, 28 January 2020
RED has been busy this week creating end-of-season probabilities. Back to the scoreline forecasts tonight for a full set of lower league matches. Whopping discrepancy between RED and the bookies…Read More >
English Championship Final Table Simulations (updated 26/1/2020)
Based on 1,000 simulations of the University of Reading’s Scorecasting Model to the end of the season, the below table shows the % chance of each English Football League Championship team…Read More >
Championship, R29 continued (28 Jan, 2020) — Reading have 46% chance of beating Bristol
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for some the remaining games from Rounds 29 of the English Championship, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast…Read More >