Our forecasts tend to be quite low scoring, and in the lower leagues this is emphatically so. In League One, 9 of 12 forecasts are for 1-0 wins, home or…Read More >
Month: August 2018
Premiership, R4 (1-2 September)
Six teams remain unbeaten in the Premier League. Two of these meet at Stamford Bridge on Saturday. The model only gives Bournemouth a 3% chance of victory. The most likely…Read More >
Championship, R6 (31-2 September, 2018)
The Friday night game sees the top two sides face off. Irrespective of what our foresting model says, if you have some football knowledge and have followed progress so far,…Read More >
"Other" Forecasts, August 28
For the First Round of the League Cup (or EFL Cup, or Carabao Cup), we produced some forecasts, and these were our first conditional forecasts. Since then we’ve experimented further…Read More >
Lower Leagues, R5 (August 25-26)
Matches are coming thick and fast in League One and League Two, with the fifth set of fixtures taking place over this weekend. Peterborough and Portsmouth are the only two…Read More >
Model vs Experts (Round 3, August 25-27)
The scoreline predictions are in for the coming weekend’s set of Premier League fixtures. Some patterns are clear: a three-goal win for Liverpool, at least a two-goal win for Arsenal,…Read More >
Premiership, R3 (25-27 August)
After outclassing Mourinho Utd, Brighton make the long journey to Anfield. (Unfortunately, the model doesn’t predict that players won’t put in a shift when they get on the pitch). Despite…Read More >
Championship, R5 (24-26 August, 2018)
Reading chucked away a two-goal lead in midweek, and are yet to register their first win of the season. They face a difficult trip to Villa Park, where the Home…Read More >
So close, but yet so far
With fifteen minutes of play left in most matches on Tuesday, our scoreline predictions were spot on in seven matches, and just one goal in a number of other matches…Read More >
Championship, R4 (21-22 August, 2018)
There are just ten midweek Championship fixtures, with two from this round having already been played in the opening week of the season. The standout game is at the Liberty…Read More >