Newcastle spent money. Breaking the longest-standing club transfer record in modern Premier League history. The Model doesn’t factor this in, unless new signings start to improve a team’s form and results. So unsurprisingly, Spurs are still heavy favourites to beat Newcastle (62%) at their North London squat. The forecast scoreline is 1-0 (16%).
The table below gives the rest of the Model’s forecasts for Round 25 of the Premier League:
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| Score | Pr (%) | P(H) | P(A) | ||
| Brighton | Watford | 1-0 | 12 | 39 | 34 |
| Burnley | Southampton | 1-0 | 11 | 41 | 32 |
| Crystal Palace | Fulham | 2-1 | 10 | 56 | 20 |
| Cardiff | Bournemouth | 1-2 | 8 | 30 | 42 |
| Chelsea | Huddersfield | 1-0 | 18 | 71 | 12 |
| Everton | Wolves | 1-0 | 13 | 39 | 33 |
| Spurs | Newcastle | 1-0 | 16 | 62 | 16 |
| Leicester | Manchester Utd | 1-2 | 8 | 27 | 46 |
| Manchester City | Arsenal | 3-1 | 8 | 63 | 16 |
| West Ham | Liverpool | 0-1 | 18 | 20 | 57 |