Much remains to be settled in League One; not least, 13 teams still need to worry a little bit about being relegated, and no team has absolutely nothing to play for… yet.
The team with the smallest probability (1%), Oxford United, can exercise that small nagging doubt by winning 1-0 at 21st place Walsall (7%), thus compounding the Midlanders’ own relegation worries (53%). Similarly recovering Wimbledon (40% chance of relegation, down from 79% in late March) look set to compound free-falling Accrington’s worries (13% of the drop) with a 1-0 win (13%).
Seemingly doomed Bradford (96% chance of the drop) entertain play-off hopefuls (45%) and fellow Yorkshiremen Doncaster, and The Model expects the Rovers to prevail 2-1 (10%).
| Forecast | Win (%) | |||||
| Score | PR(%) | P(H) | P(A) | |||
| Sat | WIM | ACC | 1-0 | 13% | 51% | 24% |
| Sat | BRA | DON | 1-2 | 10% | 27% | 47% |
| Sat | BUR | BAR | 0-1 | 16% | 30% | 43% |
| Sat | FLE | SOU | 1-0 | 13% | 57% | 19% |
| Sat | LUT | BLA | 1-0 | 20% | 65% | 15% |
| Sat | PET | GIL | 2-1 | 10% | 42% | 30% |
| Sat | PLY | CHA | 0-1 | 14% | 30% | 42% |
| Sat | ROC | SUN | 0-1 | 10% | 20% | 56% |
| Sat | SHR | SCU | 1-0 | 12% | 56% | 20% |
| Sat | WAL | OXF | 0-1 | 7% | 32% | 40% |
| Sat | WYC | POR | 1-2 | 10% | 23% | 51% |
| Sun | COV | BRI | 1-0 | 18% | 42% | 31% |