It’s about the halfway stage of the season, so we’re going to spend a little bit of time evaluating how good our forecasts are over the next few days. We’re…Read More >
Month: December 2019
League Two, R22, December 21
These remain worrying times for lower league football, especially in the North West. Macclesfield is actually a rather wealthy part of Cheshire, not far from where the megabucks earners in…Read More >
Premier League, R18 (21-22 Dec): Model suggests Southampton will spend Christmas in the relegation zone
Watford and Norwich are sure to spend Christmas in the relegation zone. But Southampton have a chance to escape this weekend at Aston Villa’s expense. The two sides face off…Read More >
League One, Round 22, December 21
Wycombe travel to Oxford in easily the best looking fixture in League One today – though Portsmouth vs Ipswich comes close, though both teams are faltering. Home advantage looks like…Read More >
Championship, R23 (20-23 Dec, 2019) – Boro to beat Stoke in relegation battle tonight?
There’s a rare amount of agreement between RED and the bookies in the Championship this weekend. Literally the only point of disagreement is on Stoke’s chances at Middlesbrough in the…Read More >
Premier League, R17 (14-16 Dec): When did the favourite-longshot bias in football odds reverse? Are longshots generally underpriced?
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 17 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model expects…Read More >
Spotlight on… Oldham Athletic
The County Ground, Swindon, sees the visit of Oldham Athletic on Saturday afternoon. RED should be there. Instead, RED is in London, at Senate House, at the Computational and Financial…Read More >
League Two, Gameweek 21, December 14
League Two is much more Tory than it used to be. Will newly Tory Grimsby prevail at still-Tory Carlisle? The bookies think it’ll be closer than RED thinks; the bookies…Read More >
League One, Game Week 21, December 14
Sunderland have become a mid-table League One side. We’re almost half way through the season and while the bookmaker still think 11th place Sunderland are favourites at home against 4th…Read More >
Championship, R22 (13-14 Dec, 2019) — Model says Charlton are favourites tonight over Hull – So The Addicks will probably lose 0-3…
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 22 of the English Championship, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >