Author: leonh

This is a question that appears again and again for people who work with forecasting. These days forecast centres do not produce one forecast, they produce a set or ensemble … Continue reading “Can the British public understand probabilities?”

It’s mid-May and the weather has been okay, if a bit cold. But the big question on people’s minds at this time of year must be: What’s the summer going … Continue reading “Why are we not getting a summer forecast from the Met Office?”