Don’t say we’re just geeks sat in a darkened room somewhere. No, this weekend we’re off out and about, and we’ll be at The County Ground in Swindon to watch…Read More >
Tag: Probabilities
League Two, R7 Residual
A solitary match takes place tonight in League Two, a rearranged fixture due to international commitments, between Yeovil Town and MK Dons. Back when the game was due to be…Read More >
Women's Super League, R3 (19 September)
The FA Women’s Super League (WSL) 2018/19 has a full round of fixtures on Sunday night. The Model forecasts a remarkably high chance of a goalless draw in the game…Read More >
Model vs Experts (R6, Sept 22-23)
As well as facing up to the inimitable Ronnie, as usual we’re trying to see how we fare against former professional footballers turned TV pundits and experts, Paul Merson and…Read More >
Lower Leagues, R9 (September 22)
Almost a quarter of the way through the lower league season, and League One continues to flummox us. We got a score last week, our first since mid-August, but it…Read More >
Champions League, R1 (18-19 September)
Better late than never… The Model is getting ambitious. Tonight it is forecasting the Champions League. This is experimental, so the methods may follow later. The rest of our Champions…Read More >
Women's Super League, R2 (19 September)
The FA Women’s Super League (WSL) 2018/19 is back on Wednesday night. Last time the Model forecast that newcomers Manchester United would beat Aston Vila by the only goal of the…Read More >
Lower Leagues R8 (September 15)
Proper football never actually stopped during the International Break, and it carries on again this coming weekend. League One is proving to be the Model’s least favourite division, with a…Read More >
National League, R10 (8 September)
Earlier in the season we experimented with “other forecasts” of the National League, which revealed some quirks, most notably for teams just promoted to the National League. In the absence…Read More >
Lower Leagues, R7 (September 8)
The season is well and truly underway now, with clear distance starting to emerge between the ends of the tables. Next week we’ll be updating our end-of-season forecasts which generated…Read More >